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LEAGUE / TABLE AND END OF SEASON300 MATCHES LEFT

HOW WILL THE LEAGUE
END?

The league's current table and the model's end-of-season forecast side by side: how many points will each team finish on, and what are the chances of winning the title, reaching the top 4 or dropping into the bottom 3? Recalculated after every match.

SERIE A · TABLE

80 MATCHES PLAYED · 300 MATCHES LEFT

HOW TO READ IT

FC Internazionale Milano is top today on 22 points. We played all the remaining matches 10,000 times with the model: FC Internazionale Milano finishes the season on an average of 89 points and wins the title with a 83% probability. The most likely finishing position is 1.

  • The Today columns are the real table: played (P), goal difference (GD), points (Pts).
  • The End of season columns are the forecast: points finished on, chance of winning the title, of finishing in the top 4 and in the bottom 3.
  • In the Likely position strip each box from 1 to 20 is a position; the brighter the box, the higher the team's chance of finishing there.
TODAYEND-OF-SEASON FORECAST
#TEAMPGDPTSPOINTSTITLETOP 4BOTTOM 3LIKELY POSITION (1 → 20)
1FC Internazionale Milano8+13228983%99%0%
2SS Lazio8+112266<1%20%<1%
3AS Roma8+1318766%77%0%
4AC Milan8+918701%42%0%
5Como 19078+717756%75%0%
6Frosinone Calcio8+414510%<1%<1%
7Juventus FC8+314733%64%0%
8Torino FC8+213500%<1%1%
9Cagliari Calcio8−313450%<1%4%
10SSC Napoli8+31165<1%20%0%
11Atalanta BC8−110550%1%<1%
12US Lecce8−59380%0%24%
13Bologna FC 19098−28490%<1%1%
14US Sassuolo Calcio8−48450%0%5%
15AC Monza8−37320%0%59%
16Genoa CFC8−77420%<1%10%
17Udinese Calcio8−94340%0%48%
18ACF Fiorentina8−104410%<1%12%
19Parma Calcio 19138−104290%0%74%
20Venezia FC8−113310%0%62%

How it was calculated: the goal expectation of each remaining match comes from the model's current team-strength measurement; the matches are played 10,000 times with that expectation and the table is rebuilt each time. Ties are broken by goal difference and goals scored; league-specific rules such as head-to-head goal difference are not applied. “Top 4” and “bottom 3” only show the position, not the league's European or relegation quotas. It is a model forecast, not betting advice. The model's full track record (Turkish) →