HOW WILL THE LEAGUE
END?
The league's current table and the model's end-of-season forecast side by side: how many points will each team finish on, and what are the chances of winning the title, reaching the top 4 or dropping into the bottom 3? Recalculated after every match.
BUNDESLIGA · TABLE
63 MATCHES PLAYED · 243 MATCHES LEFT
HOW TO READ IT
FC Bayern München is top today on 17 points. We played all the remaining matches 10,000 times with the model: FC Bayern München finishes the season on an average of 83 points and wins the title with a 94% probability. The most likely finishing position is 1.
| TODAY | END-OF-SEASON FORECAST | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS | POINTS | TITLE | TOP 4 | BOTTOM 3 | LIKELY POSITION (1 → 18) |
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 7 | +19 | 17 | 83 | 94% | >99% | 0% | |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 7 | +8 | 17 | 69 | 6% | 97% | 0% | |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 7 | +7 | 13 | 51 | 0% | 14% | 1% | |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 7 | +4 | 13 | 61 | 1% | 76% | <1% | |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 7 | +9 | 12 | 60 | <1% | 69% | 0% | |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 7 | +1 | 12 | 43 | 0% | 1% | 9% | |
| 7 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 7 | +3 | 10 | 48 | 0% | 8% | 2% | |
| 8 | SV 07 Elversberg | 7 | −3 | 10 | 41 | 0% | 1% | 16% | |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 7 | +4 | 9 | 41 | 0% | 1% | 14% | |
| 10 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 7 | 0 | 9 | 52 | 0% | 19% | <1% | |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 7 | −10 | 9 | 36 | 0% | <1% | 39% | |
| 12 | 1. FC Köln | 7 | −3 | 8 | 40 | 0% | <1% | 20% | |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | −3 | 8 | 39 | 0% | <1% | 24% | |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | −7 | 8 | 40 | 0% | <1% | 19% | |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 7 | −3 | 6 | 50 | <1% | 13% | 1% | |
| 16 | FC Schalke 04 | 7 | −3 | 6 | 37 | 0% | <1% | 35% | |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 7 | −12 | 6 | 34 | 0% | <1% | 54% | |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | −11 | 3 | 32 | 0% | <1% | 65% | |