HOW WILL THE LEAGUE
END?
The league's current table and the model's end-of-season forecast side by side: how many points will each team finish on, and what are the chances of winning the title, reaching the top 4 or dropping into the bottom 3? Recalculated after every match.
LIGUE 1 · TABLE
72 MATCHES PLAYED · 234 MATCHES LEFT
HOW TO READ IT
Paris Saint-Germain FC is top today on 17 points. We played all the remaining matches 10,000 times with the model: Paris Saint-Germain FC finishes the season on an average of 74 points and wins the title with a 87% probability. The most likely finishing position is 1.
| TODAY | END-OF-SEASON FORECAST | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS | POINTS | TITLE | TOP 4 | BOTTOM 3 | LIKELY POSITION (1 → 18) |
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | +7 | 17 | 74 | 87% | >99% | 0% | |
| 2 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 8 | +4 | 16 | 54 | 1% | 31% | <1% | |
| 3 | Lille OSC | 8 | +5 | 15 | 57 | 2% | 50% | <1% | |
| 4 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | +4 | 15 | 56 | 1% | 40% | <1% | |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais | 8 | +6 | 14 | 55 | 1% | 41% | <1% | |
| 6 | Paris FC | 8 | +4 | 14 | 52 | <1% | 20% | <1% | |
| 7 | Racing Club de Lens | 8 | +4 | 13 | 61 | 7% | 77% | 0% | |
| 8 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | +5 | 12 | 52 | <1% | 21% | <1% | |
| 9 | FC Lorient | 8 | +1 | 12 | 47 | <1% | 6% | 2% | |
| 10 | OGC Nice | 8 | −2 | 11 | 38 | 0% | <1% | 24% | |
| 11 | Toulouse FC | 8 | +1 | 10 | 48 | <1% | 9% | 1% | |
| 12 | AJ Auxerre | 8 | −6 | 10 | 39 | 0% | <1% | 17% | |
| 13 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | +2 | 9 | 44 | <1% | 3% | 4% | |
| 14 | Angers SCO | 8 | −6 | 8 | 29 | 0% | 0% | 76% | |
| 15 | Le Mans FC | 8 | −5 | 7 | 36 | 0% | <1% | 30% | |
| 16 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 8 | −6 | 7 | 43 | <1% | 2% | 7% | |
| 17 | ES Troyes AC | 8 | −11 | 5 | 32 | 0% | <1% | 60% | |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 8 | −7 | 2 | 28 | 0% | 0% | 79% | |