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LEAGUE / TABLE AND END OF SEASON281 MATCHES LEFT

HOW WILL THE LEAGUE
END?

The league's current table and the model's end-of-season forecast side by side: how many points will each team finish on, and what are the chances of winning the title, reaching the top 4 or dropping into the bottom 3? Recalculated after every match.

01 · TABLE AND END OF SEASON02 · POINTS DESERVED

LA LIGA · TABLE

99 MATCHES PLAYED · 281 MATCHES LEFT

HOW TO READ IT

FC Barcelona is top today on 27 points. We played all the remaining matches 10,000 times with the model: FC Barcelona finishes the season on an average of 93 points and wins the title with a 91% probability. The most likely finishing position is 1.

  • The Today columns are the real table: played (P), goal difference (GD), points (Pts).
  • The End of season columns are the forecast: points finished on, chance of winning the title, of finishing in the top 4 and in the bottom 3.
  • In the Likely position strip each box from 1 to 20 is a position; the brighter the box, the higher the team's chance of finishing there.
TODAYEND-OF-SEASON FORECAST
#TEAMPGDPTSPOINTSTITLETOP 4BOTTOM 3LIKELY POSITION (1 → 20)
1FC Barcelona10+29279391%>99%0%
2Club Atlético de Madrid10+1225741%93%0%
3Real Madrid CF10+1524818%99%0%
4Real Betis Balompié10+22065<1%50%0%
5Real Sociedad de Fútbol10+119580%12%<1%
6Sevilla FC10017500%1%3%
7Athletic Club9+312530%5%1%
8RC Celta de Vigo10+312490%1%3%
9Deportivo Alavés10+312490%1%3%
10Villarreal CF10+11262<1%35%<1%
11RC Deportivo La Coruña10011490%1%3%
12CA Osasuna10−1011450%<1%10%
13Real Racing Club de Santander10−1111400%0%33%
14Levante UD10−310430%<1%17%
15Elche CF10−310420%<1%20%
16Rayo Vallecano de Madrid9−89480%1%5%
17Getafe CF10−109370%0%50%
18RCD Espanyol de Barcelona10−28370%0%51%
19Valencia CF10−106420%<1%20%
20Málaga CF10−125320%0%82%

How it was calculated: the goal expectation of each remaining match comes from the model's current team-strength measurement; the matches are played 10,000 times with that expectation and the table is rebuilt each time. Ties are broken by goal difference and goals scored; league-specific rules such as head-to-head goal difference are not applied. “Top 4” and “bottom 3” only show the position, not the league's European or relegation quotas. It is a model forecast, not betting advice. The model's full track record (Turkish) →