Probabilities,
not predictions.
+90 turns team strength and recent form into win, draw and goal probabilities for the Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, the Süper Lig and the Champions League. Every figure is checked against real results every week, including the ones that missed.
The English edition currently covers this page and the method. Match pages, league tables and the track record are still Turkish-only.
UPCOMING · PREMIER LEAGUE
KICK-OFF IN UTC- Sat 31 Oct, 12:30Chelsea FC v Manchester United FC39% · 27% · 34%
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00Manchester City FC v Brighton & Hove Albion FC56% · 24% · 20%
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00AFC Bournemouth v Leeds United FC53% · 26% · 22%
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00Coventry City FC v Sunderland AFC44% · 30% · 26%
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00Hull City AFC v Ipswich Town FC62% · 23% · 15%
HOME WIN · DRAW · AWAY WIN. Tap a match for the full breakdown.
We show where our probabilities are good and where they are weak.
1,122
Big-5 leagues · last 8 months
0.595
league average 0.641 · lower is better
3
match result · 3+ goals · both teams score
BEFORE
each match uses only data from before it was played
Measured 26 October 2026
THREE STEPS
01 /
Team strength
Attack and defence strength from the quality of chances created and conceded plus real goals, with recent matches counting more.
02 /
Every scoreline
Strengths give the expected goals of each side; from those we work out the probability of every scoreline from 0-0 to 6-6.
03 /
Checked weekly
Each match is scored only with data from before kick-off, then compared with the real result and published.
COVERAGE · 7 COMPETITIONS
League fixture pages are in Turkish.