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Süper Lig30 Oct 20:00 TRT

Konyaspor×Galatasaray

ALL PROBABILITIES

MODEL CALCULATION · NOT BETTING ADVICE

Percentage: model probability · number next to it: fair odds

Match result

  • FT 1 · Konyaspor: 16.5%fair odds 6.06
  • FT X · draw: 25.7%fair odds 3.90
  • FT 2 · Galatasaray: 57.8%fair odds 1.73

Double chance

  • 1X · Konyaspor doesn't lose:
    42.2%fair odds 2.37
    X2 · Galatasaray doesn't lose:
    83.5%fair odds 1.20
    12 · no draw:
    74.3%fair odds 1.35

Under / Over (total goals)

  • 2.5
    Under 2.5 · at most 2 goals:
    48.1%fair odds 2.08
    Over 2.5 · 3+ goals:
    51.9%fair odds 1.93

Both teams to scoreboth teams score

  • BTTS Yes · both teams score:
    51.8%fair odds 1.93
    BTTS No:
    48.2%fair odds 2.08

First-half goals

  • 0.5
    HT no goals · Under 0.5:
    30.5%fair odds 3.28
    HT 1+ goals · Over 0.5:
    69.5%fair odds 1.44

ANALYSES

Form and standings

KonyasporGalatasaray
League table14. place 8 pts · 2W 2D 5L advantaged: 1. place 22 pts · 7W 1D 1L
Last 5 matchesWLDDW1.6 pts/matchadvantaged: WWWLW2.4 pts/match

Goals

KonyasporGalatasaray
Expected goals0.91advantaged: 1.84

Match total 2.8

Clean sheetadvantaged: 4/52/5

Players

KonyasporGalatasaray
Last starting XI4-2-3-14-2-3-1
ScorerChidozie Awaziem2 goalsVictor Osimhen8 goals
Most cardsEnis Bardhi1 yellow, 1 redDavinson Sánchez3 yellow

Head to head

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Model and reliability

WHAT FACTORS MAKE UP THE PERCENTAGES

IN FAVOUR OF KONYASPOR

  • Home side: in this league home sides score 1,49 per match, away sides 1,21

IN FAVOUR OF GALATASARAY

  • Galatasaray's attack is %44 above the league average (goals scored and conceded, recent matches weighted more)
  • Strength rating 1472 – 1742: Galatasaray ahead by 270 points — effect on expected goals %13Strength rating = a score showing how strong a team is (starts at 1500). The gap between the two teams is what matters.
  • Konyaspor's attack is %19 below the league average (goals scored and conceded, recent matches weighted more)
  • Galatasaray concedes %14 fewer goals than the league average

The bar is the size of the factor's effect on the goal expectation.

The model uses only this data; injuries, line-ups and motivation do not enter the model — those are in the “AI preview” section.

Pick lists by probability

We split the match's outcomes into three groups: most likely, medium probability and open to surprises. Not betting advice. SEE THE PLANS

AI preview

Summary of injuries, tactics and scenarios — Open to Pro members.

Open to members

Home/away record, fatigue, chance gap, cards and corners, goal minutes, comparison with betting odds and more Open to Plus members.

This page contains data-driven analysis. It is not betting advice.