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Süper Lig31 Oct 16:00 TRT

Kocaelispor×Çaykur Rizespor

ALL PROBABILITIES

MODEL CALCULATION · NOT BETTING ADVICE

Percentage: model probability · number next to it: fair odds

Match result

  • FT 1 · Kocaelispor: 41.2%fair odds 2.43
  • FT X · draw: 31.7%fair odds 3.15
  • FT 2 · Çaykur Rizespor: 27.1%fair odds 3.69

Double chance

  • 1X · Kocaelispor doesn't lose:
    72.9%fair odds 1.37
    X2 · Çaykur Rizespor doesn't lose:
    58.8%fair odds 1.70
    12 · no draw:
    68.3%fair odds 1.46

Under / Over (total goals)

  • 2.5
    Under 2.5 · at most 2 goals:
    58.9%fair odds 1.70
    Over 2.5 · 3+ goals:
    41.1%fair odds 2.44

Both teams to scoreboth teams score

  • BTTS Yes · both teams score:
    48.5%fair odds 2.06
    BTTS No:
    51.5%fair odds 1.94

First-half goals

  • 0.5
    HT no goals · Under 0.5:
    36.5%fair odds 2.74
    HT 1+ goals · Over 0.5:
    63.5%fair odds 1.58

ANALYSES

Form and standings

KocaelisporÇaykur Rizespor
League tableadvantaged: 7. place 15 pts · 5W 0D 4L 13. place 10 pts · 3W 1D 5L
Last 5 matchesadvantaged: WLLWL1.2 pts/matchLLLDW0.8 pts/match

Goals

KocaelisporÇaykur Rizespor
Expected goalsadvantaged: 1.311.02

Match total 2.3

Clean sheet1/51/5

Players

KocaelisporÇaykur Rizespor
Last starting XI5-4-14-1-4-1
ScorerBerkan Kutlu4 goalsQazim Laçi3 goals
Most cardsEmir Ortakaya2 yellowAttila Mocsi3 yellow

Head to head

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Model and reliability

WHAT FACTORS MAKE UP THE PERCENTAGES

IN FAVOUR OF KOCAELISPOR

  • Home side: in this league home sides score 1,49 per match, away sides 1,21
  • Kocaelispor concedes %18 fewer goals than the league average
  • Çaykur Rizespor concedes %14 more goals than the league average
  • Last 5 matches, per match goal difference: Kocaelispor 0,0, Çaykur Rizespor -0,6

IN FAVOUR OF ÇAYKUR RIZESPOR

  • Kocaelispor's attack is %24 below the league average (goals scored and conceded, recent matches weighted more)

The bar is the size of the factor's effect on the goal expectation.

The model uses only this data; injuries, line-ups and motivation do not enter the model — those are in the “AI preview” section.

Pick lists by probability

We split the match's outcomes into three groups: most likely, medium probability and open to surprises. Not betting advice. SEE THE PLANS

AI preview

Summary of injuries, tactics and scenarios — Open to Pro members.

Open to members

Home/away record, fatigue, chance gap, cards and corners, goal minutes, comparison with betting odds and more Open to Plus members.

This page contains data-driven analysis. It is not betting advice.