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Süper Lig1 Nov 16:00 TRT

Trabzonspor×Gaziantep FK

ALL PROBABILITIES

MODEL CALCULATION · NOT BETTING ADVICE

Percentage: model probability · number next to it: fair odds

Match result

  • FT 1 · Trabzonspor: 78.4%fair odds 1.28
  • FT X · draw: 14.3%fair odds 6.98
  • FT 2 · Gaziantep: 7.3%fair odds 13.71

Double chance

  • 1X · Trabzonspor doesn't lose:
    92.7%fair odds 1.08
    X2 · Gaziantep doesn't lose:
    21.6%fair odds 4.62
    12 · no draw:
    85.7%fair odds 1.17

Under / Over (total goals)

  • 2.5
    Under 2.5 · at most 2 goals:
    26.1%fair odds 3.83
    Over 2.5 · 3+ goals:
    73.9%fair odds 1.35

Both teams to scoreboth teams score

  • BTTS Yes · both teams score:
    56.6%fair odds 1.77
    BTTS No:
    43.4%fair odds 2.30

First-half goals

  • 0.5
    HT no goals · Under 0.5:
    19.1%fair odds 5.24
    HT 1+ goals · Over 0.5:
    80.9%fair odds 1.24

ANALYSES

Form and standings

TrabzonsporGaziantep
League tableadvantaged: 3. place 19 pts · 6W 1D 2L 15. place 8 pts · 2W 2D 5L
Last 5 matchesadvantaged: WWWWL2.4 pts/matchLLLLD0.2 pts/match

Goals

TrabzonsporGaziantep
Expected goalsadvantaged: 2.960.89

Match total 3.8

Clean sheetadvantaged: 3/51/5

Players

TrabzonsporGaziantep
Last starting XI4-1-4-14-1-4-1
ScorerMohamed Salah8 goalsDeian Sorescu2 goals
Most cardsMelih Kabasakal1 yellow, 1 redMyenty Abena4 yellow

Head to head

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Model and reliability

WHAT FACTORS MAKE UP THE PERCENTAGES

IN FAVOUR OF TRABZONSPOR

  • Trabzonspor's attack is %41 above the league average (goals scored and conceded, recent matches weighted more)
  • Home side: in this league home sides score 1,49 per match, away sides 1,21
  • Gaziantep concedes %20 more goals than the league average
  • Strength rating 1649 – 1430: Trabzonspor ahead by 219 points — effect on expected goals %11Strength rating = a score showing how strong a team is (starts at 1500). The gap between the two teams is what matters.
  • Gaziantep's attack is %10 below the league average (goals scored and conceded, recent matches weighted more)
  • Trabzonspor concedes %10 fewer goals than the league average
  • Last 5 matches, per match goal difference: Trabzonspor +1,8, Gaziantep -1,6

IN FAVOUR OF GAZIANTEP

No factor stands out clearly from the league average.

The bar is the size of the factor's effect on the goal expectation.

The model uses only this data; injuries, line-ups and motivation do not enter the model — those are in the “AI preview” section.

Pick lists by probability

We split the match's outcomes into three groups: most likely, medium probability and open to surprises. Not betting advice. SEE THE PLANS

AI preview

Summary of injuries, tactics and scenarios — Open to Pro members.

Open to members

Home/away record, fatigue, chance gap, cards and corners, goal minutes, comparison with betting odds and more Open to Plus members.

This page contains data-driven analysis. It is not betting advice.