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Süper Lig1 Nov 13:30 TRT

Amed SFK×Eyüpspor

ALL PROBABILITIES

MODEL CALCULATION · NOT BETTING ADVICE

Percentage: model probability · number next to it: fair odds

Match result

  • FT 1 · Amed SFK: 78.5%fair odds 1.27
  • FT X · draw: 15.2%fair odds 6.56
  • FT 2 · Eyüpspor: 6.3%fair odds 15.87

Double chance

  • 1X · Amed SFK doesn't lose:
    93.7%fair odds 1.07
    X2 · Eyüpspor doesn't lose:
    21.5%fair odds 4.64
    12 · no draw:
    84.8%fair odds 1.18

Under / Over (total goals)

  • 2.5
    Under 2.5 · at most 2 goals:
    33.8%fair odds 2.96
    Over 2.5 · 3+ goals:
    66.2%fair odds 1.51

Both teams to scoreboth teams score

  • BTTS Yes · both teams score:
    48.2%fair odds 2.07
    BTTS No:
    51.8%fair odds 1.93

First-half goals

  • 0.5
    HT no goals · Under 0.5:
    22.8%fair odds 4.38
    HT 1+ goals · Over 0.5:
    77.2%fair odds 1.30

ANALYSES

Form and standings

Amed SFKEyüpspor
League tableadvantaged: 2. place 20 pts · 6W 2D 1L 18. place 3 pts · 1W 0D 8L
Last 5 matchesadvantaged: WWDWW2.6 pts/matchLLLLL0.0 pts/match

Goals

Amed SFKEyüpspor
Expected goalsadvantaged: 2.700.71

Match total 3.4

Clean sheetadvantaged: 2/50/5

Players

Amed SFKEyüpspor
Last starting XI4-2-3-14-1-4-1
ScorerGift Orban8 goalsAhmed Abdullahi1 goals
Most cardsLumbardh Dellova4 yellowDavid Costa2 yellow, 1 red

Head to head

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Model and reliability

WHAT FACTORS MAKE UP THE PERCENTAGES

IN FAVOUR OF AMED SFK

  • Eyüpspor's attack is %30 below the league average (goals scored and conceded, recent matches weighted more)
  • Amed SFK's attack is %30 above the league average (goals scored and conceded, recent matches weighted more)
  • Home side: in this league home sides score 1,49 per match, away sides 1,21
  • Eyüpspor concedes %19 more goals than the league average
  • Last 5 matches, per match goal difference: Amed SFK +1,6, Eyüpspor -3,4
  • Strength rating 1545 – 1399: Amed SFK ahead by 146 points — effect on expected goals %7Strength rating = a score showing how strong a team is (starts at 1500). The gap between the two teams is what matters.
  • Amed SFK concedes %8 fewer goals than the league average

IN FAVOUR OF EYÜPSPOR

No factor stands out clearly from the league average.

The bar is the size of the factor's effect on the goal expectation.

The model uses only this data; injuries, line-ups and motivation do not enter the model — those are in the “AI preview” section.

Pick lists by probability

We split the match's outcomes into three groups: most likely, medium probability and open to surprises. Not betting advice. SEE THE PLANS

AI preview

Summary of injuries, tactics and scenarios — Open to Pro members.

Open to members

Home/away record, fatigue, chance gap, cards and corners, goal minutes, comparison with betting odds and more Open to Plus members.

This page contains data-driven analysis. It is not betting advice.