Skip to content
Süper Lig1 Nov 19:00 TRT

Kasımpaşa×Beşiktaş

ALL PROBABILITIES

MODEL CALCULATION · NOT BETTING ADVICE

Percentage: model probability · number next to it: fair odds

Match result

  • FT 1 · Kasımpaşa: 24.0%fair odds 4.17
  • FT X · draw: 28.7%fair odds 3.48
  • FT 2 · Beşiktaş: 47.3%fair odds 2.11

Double chance

  • 1X · Kasımpaşa doesn't lose:
    52.7%fair odds 1.90
    X2 · Beşiktaş doesn't lose:
    76.0%fair odds 1.32
    12 · no draw:
    71.3%fair odds 1.40

Under / Over (total goals)

  • 2.5
    Under 2.5 · at most 2 goals:
    50.6%fair odds 1.97
    Over 2.5 · 3+ goals:
    49.4%fair odds 2.03

Both teams to scoreboth teams score

  • BTTS Yes · both teams score:
    53.9%fair odds 1.85
    BTTS No:
    46.1%fair odds 2.17

First-half goals

  • 0.5
    HT no goals · Under 0.5:
    31.9%fair odds 3.13
    HT 1+ goals · Over 0.5:
    68.1%fair odds 1.47

ANALYSES

Form and standings

KasımpaşaBeşiktaş
League table6. place 16 pts · 4W 4D 1L advantaged: 4. place 18 pts · 6W 0D 3L
Last 5 matchesadvantaged: WWLDW2.0 pts/matchWLWLW1.8 pts/match

Goals

KasımpaşaBeşiktaş
Expected goals1.07advantaged: 1.58

Match total 2.6

Clean sheet2/52/5

Players

KasımpaşaBeşiktaş
Last starting XI4-2-3-14-1-4-1
ScorerAdrian Benedyczak6 goalsDusan Vlahovic6 goals
Most cardsAli Yavuz Kol3 yellowEmir Han Topcu3 yellow

Head to head

Recent matchesLoading…

Loading…

Model and reliability

WHAT FACTORS MAKE UP THE PERCENTAGES

IN FAVOUR OF KASIMPAŞA

  • Home side: in this league home sides score 1,49 per match, away sides 1,21

IN FAVOUR OF BEŞIKTAŞ

  • Beşiktaş's attack is %26 above the league average (goals scored and conceded, recent matches weighted more)
  • Kasımpaşa's attack is %13 below the league average (goals scored and conceded, recent matches weighted more)
  • Beşiktaş concedes %13 fewer goals than the league average
  • Strength rating 1499 – 1626: Beşiktaş ahead by 127 points — effect on expected goals %6Strength rating = a score showing how strong a team is (starts at 1500). The gap between the two teams is what matters.

The bar is the size of the factor's effect on the goal expectation.

The model uses only this data; injuries, line-ups and motivation do not enter the model — those are in the “AI preview” section.

Pick lists by probability

We split the match's outcomes into three groups: most likely, medium probability and open to surprises. Not betting advice. SEE THE PLANS

AI preview

Summary of injuries, tactics and scenarios — Open to Pro members.

Open to members

Home/away record, fatigue, chance gap, cards and corners, goal minutes, comparison with betting odds and more Open to Plus members.

This page contains data-driven analysis. It is not betting advice.