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Serie A27 Oct 22:45 TRT

Torino FC×Como 1907

ALL PROBABILITIES

MODEL CALCULATION · NOT BETTING ADVICE

Percentage: model probability · number next to it: fair odds

Match result

  • FT 1 · Torino: 17.0%fair odds 5.88
  • FT X · draw: 25.6%fair odds 3.91
  • FT 2 · Como 1907: 57.4%fair odds 1.74

Double chance

  • 1X · Torino doesn't lose:
    42.6%fair odds 2.35
    X2 · Como 1907 doesn't lose:
    83.0%fair odds 1.21
    12 · no draw:
    74.4%fair odds 1.34

Under / Over (total goals)

  • 2.5
    Under 2.5 · at most 2 goals:
    48.9%fair odds 2.04
    Over 2.5 · 3+ goals:
    51.1%fair odds 1.96

Both teams to scoreboth teams score

  • BTTS Yes · both teams score:
    51.2%fair odds 1.95
    BTTS No:
    48.8%fair odds 2.05

First-half goals

  • 0.5
    HT no goals · Under 0.5:
    30.7%fair odds 3.26
    HT 1+ goals · Over 0.5:
    69.3%fair odds 1.44

ANALYSES

Form and standings

TorinoComo 1907
League table8. place 13 pts · 4W 1D 3L advantaged: 5. place 17 pts · 5W 2D 1L
Last 5 matchesWWWDL2.0 pts/matchWWDLW2.0 pts/match

Goals

TorinoComo 1907
Expected goals0.90advantaged: 1.81

Match total 2.7

Clean sheet1/5advantaged: 2/5
Luck+1.8 puan+2.4 puan

Players

TorinoComo 1907
Last starting XI3-1-4-24-2-3-1
ScorerChé Adams3 goalsAnastasios Douvikas5 goals
Most dangerousGiovanni Simeoneexpected goals 1.7Tasos Douvikasexpected goals 4.8
Finisher—Tasos Douvikas+0.2 goals vs expectation
GoalkeeperLucas Perriconceded 1.6 goals more than expectedJean Butezconceded 1.4 goals fewer than expected
Most cardsAdrian Ismajli2 yellowAssane Diao2 yellow

Head to head

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Model and reliability

Clarity7/10

Favourite = the side with the highest chance of winning. It does not mean they will win.

Match Resultmore accurate than the league average 0.574 / 0.637

Last 8 months, 194 matches

3+ Total Goals?more accurate than the league average 0.498 / 0.500

Last 8 months, 194 matches

Both Teams to Score?more accurate than the league average 0.497 / 0.500

Last 8 months, 194 matches

WHAT FACTORS MAKE UP THE PERCENTAGES

IN FAVOUR OF TORINO

  • Home side: in this league home sides score 1,34 per match, away sides 1,24

IN FAVOUR OF COMO 1907

  • Como 1907's attack is %29 above the league average (chance quality and goals, recent matches weighted more)
  • Como 1907 concedes %20 fewer goals than the league average
  • Strength rating 1475 – 1644: Como 1907 ahead by 169 points — effect on expected goals %8Strength rating = a score showing how strong a team is (starts at 1500). The gap between the two teams is what matters.
  • Last 5 matches, per match expected-goal difference: Torino +0,3, Como 1907 +0,87

The bar is the size of the factor's effect on the goal expectation.

The model uses only this data; injuries, line-ups and motivation do not enter the model — those are in the “AI preview” section.

Pick lists by probability

We split the match's outcomes into three groups: most likely, medium probability and open to surprises. Not betting advice. SEE THE PLANS

AI preview

Summary of injuries, tactics and scenarios — Open to Pro members.

Open to members

Home/away record, fatigue, chance gap, cards and corners, goal minutes, comparison with betting odds and more Open to Plus members.

This page contains data-driven analysis. It is not betting advice.