Skip to content
Şampiyonlar Ligi21 Oct 22:00 TRTREFEREE · NICK WALSH

Sporting Clube de Portugal×LASK Linz

MATCH FINISHEDSporting Clube de Portugal 2–3 LASK LinzHT 1–1

Maç bitti. The analysis below was calculated before the match (21 Oct 21:53 TRT); it does not change during or after the match.

ALL PROBABILITIES

MODEL CALCULATION · NOT BETTING ADVICE

Percentage: model probability · number next to it: fair odds

Match result

  • FT 1 · Sporting Clube de Portugal: 77.0%fair odds 1.30
  • FT X · draw: 14.5%fair odds 6.90
  • FT 2 · LASK Linz: 8.5%fair odds 11.71

Double chance

  • 1X · Sporting Clube de Portugal doesn't lose:
    91.5%fair odds 1.09
    X2 · LASK Linz doesn't lose:
    23.0%fair odds 4.34
    12 · no draw:
    85.5%fair odds 1.17

Under / Over (total goals)

  • 2.5
    Under 2.5 · at most 2 goals:
    34.6%fair odds 2.89
    Over 2.5 · 3+ goals:
    65.4%fair odds 1.53

Both teams to scoreboth teams score

  • BTTS Yes · both teams score:
    49.3%fair odds 2.03
    BTTS No:
    50.7%fair odds 1.97

First-half goals

  • 0.5
    HT no goals · Under 0.5:
    22.0%fair odds 4.55
    HT 1+ goals · Over 0.5:
    78.0%fair odds 1.28

ANALYSES

Match summary

Goals and cards

Sporting Clube de PortugalLASK Linz
  1. Goal: Luis Suárezpenalty5'
  2. 15'Goal: Christoph Langassist Kasper Jørgensen
  3. 33'Yellow card: Christoph Lang
  4. 45'Yellow card: Sascha Horvath
  5. 63'Goal: Sasa Kalajdzicassist Robert Ljubicic
  6. Yellow card: Issa Doumbia64'
  7. Yellow card: João Simões65'
  8. 68'Goal: Krystof Danekassist Samuel Adeniran
  9. 72'Yellow card: Sasa Kalajdzic
  10. Goal: Luis Suárez89'
  11. 89'Yellow card: Tobias Schützenauer
  12. 90+1'Yellow card: Krystof Danek

Statistics

Sporting Clube de PortugalLASK Linz
advantaged: 16Shots11
4Shots on targetadvantaged: 7
advantaged: 7Corners4
advantaged: %62Possession%38
10Fouls22
Starting XI and formation

Sporting Clube de Portugal4-3-3

  1. 1Kaique
  2. 2Gonçalo Inácio
  3. 3Eduardo Quaresma
  4. 4Maxi Araújo
  5. 5Iván Fresneda
  6. 6Sergi Altimira
  7. 7Issa Doumbia
  8. 8João Simões
  9. 9Luis Suárez
  10. 10Nestory Irankunda
  11. 11Geny Catamo

LASK Linz3-4-3

  1. 1Lukas Jungwirth
  2. 2Alemão
  3. 3Andrés Andrade
  4. 4Xavier Mbuyamba
  5. 5Sascha Horvath
  6. 6Robert Ljubicic
  7. 7Yvan Dibango
  8. 8Kasper Jørgensen
  9. 9Sasa Kalajdzic
  10. 10Christoph Lang
  11. 11Krystof Danek

What did the model say, what happened?

Match resultLASK Linz win%9most likely: Sporting Clube de Portugal win %77
3+ goals?3 or more goals%65it was the most likely one
Both teams to score?Both teams score%49most likely: At least one team doesn't score %51

Expected goals (model, pre-match): 2.61–0.76 · score: 2–3

Form and standings

Sporting Clube de PortugalLASK Linz
League tableadvantaged: 8. place 6 pts · 2W 0D 0L 33. place 0 pts · 0W 0D 2L
Last 5 matchesadvantaged: WWDLW2.0 pts/matchLL0.0 pts/match

Goals

Sporting Clube de PortugalLASK Linz
Expected goalsadvantaged: 2.610.76

Match total 3.4

Clean sheetadvantaged: 3/50/2

Players

Sporting Clube de PortugalLASK Linz
Starting XI · official4-3-33-4-3
ScorerLuis Suárez2 goalsFlorian Flecker2 goals
Most cardsLuis Suárez1 yellowAndrés Andrade1 yellow

Cards, corners, referee, workload

Sporting Clube de PortugalLASK Linz
RefereeNick Walsh

Not enough match data for the league trend

Head to head

Recent matchesLoading…

Loading…

Model and reliability

WHAT FACTORS MAKE UP THE PERCENTAGES

IN FAVOUR OF SPORTING CLUBE DE PORTUGAL

  • European strength rating 1745 – 1500: Sporting Clube de Portugal ahead by 245 pointsStrength rating = a score showing how strong a team is (starts at 1500). The gap between the two teams is what matters.
  • Home side: in the Champions League the home side's goal expectation is about %28 higher

IN FAVOUR OF LASK LINZ

No factor stands out clearly from the league average.

The bar is the size of the factor's effect on the goal expectation.

The model uses only this data; injuries, line-ups and motivation do not enter the model — those are in the “AI preview” section.

Pick lists by probability

We split the match's outcomes into three groups: most likely, medium probability and open to surprises. Not betting advice. SEE THE PLANS

AI preview

Summary of injuries, tactics and scenarios — Open to Pro members.

Open to members

Home/away record, fatigue, chance gap, cards and corners, goal minutes, comparison with betting odds and more Open to Plus members.

This page contains data-driven analysis. It is not betting advice.