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Şampiyonlar Ligi21 Oct 22:00 TRTREFEREE · SIMONE SOZZA

Real Betis Balompié×Feyenoord Rotterdam

MATCH FINISHEDReal Betis Balompié 1–0 Feyenoord RotterdamHT 0–0

Maç bitti. The analysis below was calculated before the match (21 Oct 21:54 TRT); it does not change during or after the match.

ALL PROBABILITIES

MODEL CALCULATION · NOT BETTING ADVICE

Percentage: model probability · number next to it: fair odds

Match result

  • FT 1 · Real Betis Balompié: 62.2%fair odds 1.61
  • FT X · draw: 20.7%fair odds 4.83
  • FT 2 · Feyenoord Rotterdam: 17.1%fair odds 5.84

Double chance

  • 1X · Real Betis Balompié doesn't lose:
    82.9%fair odds 1.21
    X2 · Feyenoord Rotterdam doesn't lose:
    37.8%fair odds 2.64
    12 · no draw:
    79.3%fair odds 1.26

Under / Over (total goals)

  • 2.5
    Under 2.5 · at most 2 goals:
    42.1%fair odds 2.38
    Over 2.5 · 3+ goals:
    57.9%fair odds 1.73

Both teams to scoreboth teams score

  • BTTS Yes · both teams score:
    54.0%fair odds 1.85
    BTTS No:
    46.0%fair odds 2.17

First-half goals

  • 0.5
    HT no goals · Under 0.5:
    25.8%fair odds 3.88
    HT 1+ goals · Over 0.5:
    74.2%fair odds 1.35

ANALYSES

Match summary

Goals and cards

Real Betis BalompiéFeyenoord Rotterdam
  1. 14'Yellow card: Mika Mármol
  2. 52'Yellow card: Charles Vanhoutte
  3. Goal: Iscopenalty59'
  4. Yellow card: Rodrigo Riquelme86'

Statistics

Real Betis BalompiéFeyenoord Rotterdam
advantaged: 23Shots12
advantaged: 10Shots on target2
4Corners4
%47Possessionadvantaged: %53
8Fouls10
Starting XI and formation

Real Betis Balompié4-2-3-1

  1. 1Álvaro Valles
  2. 2Natan
  3. 3Marc Bartra
  4. 4Fran García
  5. 5Héctor Bellerín
  6. 6Isco
  7. 7Marc Roca
  8. 8Pablo Fornals
  9. 9Troy Parrott
  10. 10Abde Ezzalzouli
  11. 11Antony

Feyenoord Rotterdam4-3-3

  1. 1Tjark Ernst
  2. 2Mika Mármol
  3. 3Jerry St. Juste
  4. 4Javi López
  5. 5Givairo Read
  6. 6Charles Vanhoutte
  7. 7Oussama Targhaline
  8. 8Gjivai Zechiël
  9. 9Nacho Ferri
  10. 10Luciano Valente
  11. 11Anis Hadj Moussa

What did the model say, what happened?

Match resultReal Betis Balompié win%62it was the most likely one
3+ goals?2 or fewer goals%42most likely: 3 or more goals %58
Both teams to score?At least one team doesn't score%46most likely: Both teams score %54

Expected goals (model, pre-match): 2.04–0.97 · score: 1–0

Form and standings

Real Betis BalompiéFeyenoord Rotterdam
League tableadvantaged: 11. place 6 pts · 2W 0D 0L 25. place 3 pts · 1W 0D 1L
Last 5 matchesadvantaged: WW3.0 pts/matchWL1.5 pts/match

Goals

Real Betis BalompiéFeyenoord Rotterdam
Expected goalsadvantaged: 2.040.97

Match total 3.0

Clean sheet0/20/2
Luck+6.6 puan—

Players

Real Betis BalompiéFeyenoord Rotterdam
Starting XI · official4-2-3-14-3-3
ScorerMarc Bartra2 goalsAnis Hadj Moussa1 goals
Most dangerousJuan Camilo Hernándezexpected goals 2.2—
FinisherJuan Camilo Hernández−0.2 goals vs expectation—
GoalkeeperÁlvaro Vallésconceded 3.3 goals fewer than expected—
Most cardsAbde Ezzalzouli1 yellowCharles Vanhoutte1 yellow

Cards, corners, referee, workload

Real Betis BalompiéFeyenoord Rotterdam
RefereeSimone Sozza

Not enough match data for the league trend

Head to head

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Model and reliability

WHAT FACTORS MAKE UP THE PERCENTAGES

IN FAVOUR OF REAL BETIS BALOMPIÉ

  • European strength rating 1669 – 1546: Real Betis Balompié ahead by 124 pointsStrength rating = a score showing how strong a team is (starts at 1500). The gap between the two teams is what matters.
  • Home side: in the Champions League the home side's goal expectation is about %28 higher

IN FAVOUR OF FEYENOORD ROTTERDAM

No factor stands out clearly from the league average.

The bar is the size of the factor's effect on the goal expectation.

The model uses only this data; injuries, line-ups and motivation do not enter the model — those are in the “AI preview” section.

Pick lists by probability

We split the match's outcomes into three groups: most likely, medium probability and open to surprises. Not betting advice. SEE THE PLANS

AI preview

Summary of injuries, tactics and scenarios — Open to Pro members.

Open to members

Home/away record, fatigue, chance gap, cards and corners, goal minutes, comparison with betting odds and more Open to Plus members.

This page contains data-driven analysis. It is not betting advice.