Skip to content
Şampiyonlar Ligi14 Oct 22:00 TRTREFEREE · CLÉMENT TURPIN

Real Betis Balompié×FC Porto

MATCH FINISHEDReal Betis Balompié 3–2 PortoHT 0–0

Maç bitti. The analysis below was calculated before the match (14 Oct 21:46 TRT); it does not change during or after the match.

ALL PROBABILITIES

MODEL CALCULATION · NOT BETTING ADVICE

Percentage: model probability · number next to it: fair odds

Match result

  • FT 1 · Real Betis Balompié: 44.4%fair odds 2.25
  • FT X · draw: 24.8%fair odds 4.03
  • FT 2 · Porto: 30.8%fair odds 3.25

Double chance

  • 1X · Real Betis Balompié doesn't lose:
    69.2%fair odds 1.44
    X2 · Porto doesn't lose:
    55.6%fair odds 1.80
    12 · no draw:
    75.2%fair odds 1.33

Under / Over (total goals)

  • 2.5
    Under 2.5 · at most 2 goals:
    46.2%fair odds 2.16
    Over 2.5 · 3+ goals:
    53.8%fair odds 1.86

Both teams to scoreboth teams score

  • BTTS Yes · both teams score:
    56.8%fair odds 1.76
    BTTS No:
    43.2%fair odds 2.31

First-half goals

  • 0.5
    HT no goals · Under 0.5:
    28.0%fair odds 3.57
    HT 1+ goals · Over 0.5:
    72.0%fair odds 1.39

ANALYSES

What did the model say, what happened?

Match resultReal Betis Balompié win%44it was the most likely one
3+ goals?3 or more goals%54it was the most likely one
Both teams to score?Both teams score%57it was the most likely one

Expected goals (model, pre-match): 1.57–1.26 · score: 3–2

Form and standings

Real Betis BalompiéPorto
League tableadvantaged: 12. place 3 pts · 1W 0D 0L 29. place 0 pts · 0W 0D 1L
Last 5 matchesadvantaged: W3.0 pts/matchL0.0 pts/match

Goals

Real Betis BalompiéPorto
Expected goalsadvantaged: 1.571.26

Match total 2.8

Clean sheet0/10/1
Luck+7.0 puan—

Players

Real Betis BalompiéPorto
Starting XI · official4-2-3-14-3-3
ScorerMarc Bartra2 goalsno goals
Most dangerousJuan Camilo Hernándezexpected goals 2.1—
FinisherJuan Camilo Hernández−0.1 goals vs expectation—
GoalkeeperÁlvaro Vallésconceded 4.5 goals fewer than expected—
Most cardsFacundo Bernal1 yellowPablo Rosario1 yellow

Cards, corners, referee, workload

Real Betis BalompiéPorto
RefereeClément Turpin

Not enough match data for the league trend

Head to head

Recent matchesLoading…

Loading…

Model and reliability

WHAT FACTORS MAKE UP THE PERCENTAGES

IN FAVOUR OF REAL BETIS BALOMPIÉ

  • Home side: in the Champions League the home side's goal expectation is about %28 higher

IN FAVOUR OF PORTO

No factor stands out clearly from the league average.

The bar is the size of the factor's effect on the goal expectation.

The model uses only this data; injuries, line-ups and motivation do not enter the model — those are in the “AI preview” section.

Pick lists by probability

We split the match's outcomes into three groups: most likely, medium probability and open to surprises. Not betting advice. SEE THE PLANS

AI preview

Summary of injuries, tactics and scenarios — Open to Pro members.

Open to members

Home/away record, fatigue, chance gap, cards and corners, goal minutes, comparison with betting odds and more Open to Plus members.

This page contains data-driven analysis. It is not betting advice.