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Şampiyonlar Ligi13 Oct 19:45 TRTREFEREE · IGOR PAJAČ

Racing Club de Lens×Sporting Clube de Portugal

MATCH FINISHEDRacing Club de Lens 0–2 Sporting Clube de PortugalHT 0–1

Maç bitti. The analysis below was calculated before the match (13 Oct 18:02 TRT); it does not change during or after the match.

ALL PROBABILITIES

MODEL CALCULATION · NOT BETTING ADVICE

Percentage: model probability · number next to it: fair odds

Match result

  • FT 1 · Racing Club de Lens: 32.8%fair odds 3.05
  • FT X · draw: 25.0%fair odds 4.00
  • FT 2 · Sporting Clube de Portugal: 42.2%fair odds 2.37

Double chance

  • 1X · Racing Club de Lens doesn't lose:
    57.8%fair odds 1.73
    X2 · Sporting Clube de Portugal doesn't lose:
    67.2%fair odds 1.49
    12 · no draw:
    75.0%fair odds 1.33

Under / Over (total goals)

  • 2.5
    Under 2.5 · at most 2 goals:
    46.4%fair odds 2.15
    Over 2.5 · 3+ goals:
    53.6%fair odds 1.87

Both teams to scoreboth teams score

  • BTTS Yes · both teams score:
    56.9%fair odds 1.76
    BTTS No:
    43.1%fair odds 2.32

First-half goals

  • 0.5
    HT no goals · Under 0.5:
    28.1%fair odds 3.56
    HT 1+ goals · Over 0.5:
    71.9%fair odds 1.39

ANALYSES

Match summary

Goals and cards

Racing Club de LensSporting Clube de Portugal
  1. 22'Goal: Luis Suárezassist Nestory Irankunda
  2. Yellow card: Michaël Cuisance71'
  3. 74'Goal: Issa Doumbiaassist Silas Andersen
  4. Yellow card: Florian Thauvin81'

Statistics

Racing Club de LensSporting Clube de Portugal
advantaged: 21Shots11
advantaged: 6Shots on target5
advantaged: 6Corners3
advantaged: %56Possession%44
8Fouls12
Starting XI and formation

Racing Club de Lens3-4-2-1

  1. 1Robin Risser
  2. 2Samson Baidoo
  3. 3Kyllian Antonio
  4. 4Pierre Ganiou
  5. 5Amadou Haidara
  6. 6Michaël Cuisance
  7. 7Matthieu Udol
  8. 8Saud Abdulhamid
  9. 9Franjo Ivanovic
  10. 10Junior Kadile
  11. 11Florian Thauvin

Sporting Clube de Portugal4-3-3

  1. 1Kaique
  2. 2Gonçalo Inácio
  3. 3Eduardo Quaresma
  4. 4Maxi Araújo
  5. 5Iván Fresneda
  6. 6Sergi Altimira
  7. 7Issa Doumbia
  8. 8João Simões
  9. 9Luis Suárez
  10. 10Nestory Irankunda
  11. 11Geny Catamo

What did the model say, what happened?

Match resultSporting Clube de Portugal win%42it was the most likely one
3+ goals?2 or fewer goals%46most likely: 3 or more goals %54
Both teams to score?At least one team doesn't score%43most likely: Both teams score %57

Expected goals (model, pre-match): 1.31–1.51 · score: 0–2

Form and standings

Racing Club de LensSporting Clube de Portugal
League table9. place 3 pts · 1W 0D 0L advantaged: 6. place 3 pts · 1W 0D 0L
Last 5 matchesadvantaged: W3.0 pts/matchWDLWL1.4 pts/match

Goals

Racing Club de LensSporting Clube de Portugal
Expected goals1.31advantaged: 1.51

Match total 2.8

Clean sheet0/1advantaged: 2/5
Luck−2.7 puan—

Players

Racing Club de LensSporting Clube de Portugal
Starting XI · official3-4-2-14-3-3
ScorerAbdallah Sima1 goalsGeny Catamo1 goals
Most dangerousFlorian Thauvinexpected goals 3.3—
Finisher——
GoalkeeperRobin Risserconceded 0.5 goals fewer than expected—
Most cardsPierre Ganiou1 yellowLuis Suárez1 yellow

Cards, corners, referee, workload

Racing Club de LensSporting Clube de Portugal
RefereeIgor Pajač

Not enough match data for the league trend

Head to head

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Model and reliability

WHAT FACTORS MAKE UP THE PERCENTAGES

IN FAVOUR OF RACING CLUB DE LENS

  • Home side: in the Champions League the home side's goal expectation is about %28 higher

IN FAVOUR OF SPORTING CLUBE DE PORTUGAL

  • European strength rating 1628 – 1725: Sporting Clube de Portugal ahead by 97 pointsStrength rating = a score showing how strong a team is (starts at 1500). The gap between the two teams is what matters.

The bar is the size of the factor's effect on the goal expectation.

The model uses only this data; injuries, line-ups and motivation do not enter the model — those are in the “AI preview” section.

Pick lists by probability

We split the match's outcomes into three groups: most likely, medium probability and open to surprises. Not betting advice. SEE THE PLANS

AI preview

Summary of injuries, tactics and scenarios — Open to Pro members.

Open to members

Home/away record, fatigue, chance gap, cards and corners, goal minutes, comparison with betting odds and more Open to Plus members.

This page contains data-driven analysis. It is not betting advice.