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Şampiyonlar Ligi3 Nov 20:45 TRT

FK Shakhtar Donetsk×Sporting Clube de Portugal

ALL PROBABILITIES

MODEL CALCULATION · NOT BETTING ADVICE

Percentage: model probability · number next to it: fair odds

Match result

  • FT 1 · FK Shakhtar Donetsk: 23.3%fair odds 4.29
  • FT X · draw: 23.2%fair odds 4.31
  • FT 2 · Sporting Clube de Portugal: 53.5%fair odds 1.87

Double chance

  • 1X · FK Shakhtar Donetsk doesn't lose:
    46.5%fair odds 2.15
    X2 · Sporting Clube de Portugal doesn't lose:
    76.7%fair odds 1.30
    12 · no draw:
    76.8%fair odds 1.30

Under / Over (total goals)

  • 2.5
    Under 2.5 · at most 2 goals:
    44.7%fair odds 2.24
    Over 2.5 · 3+ goals:
    55.3%fair odds 1.81

Both teams to scoreboth teams score

  • BTTS Yes · both teams score:
    55.7%fair odds 1.79
    BTTS No:
    44.3%fair odds 2.26

First-half goals

  • 0.5
    HT no goals · Under 0.5:
    27.1%fair odds 3.68
    HT 1+ goals · Over 0.5:
    72.9%fair odds 1.37

ANALYSES

Form and standings

FK Shakhtar DonetskSporting Clube de Portugal
League table17. place 4 pts · 1W 1D 1L advantaged: 12. place 6 pts · 2W 0D 1L
Last 5 matchesLWD1.3 pts/matchadvantaged: LWWDL1.4 pts/match

Goals

FK Shakhtar DonetskSporting Clube de Portugal
Expected goals1.10advantaged: 1.79

Match total 2.9

Clean sheet0/3advantaged: 2/5

Players

FK Shakhtar DonetskSporting Clube de Portugal
Last starting XI4-1-4-14-3-3
ScorerGleiker Mendoza2 goalsLuis Suárez4 goals
Most cardsMarlon Gomes3 yellowIssa Doumbia1 yellow

Head to head

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Model and reliability

WHAT FACTORS MAKE UP THE PERCENTAGES

IN FAVOUR OF FK SHAKHTAR DONETSK

  • Home side: in the Champions League the home side's goal expectation is about %28 higher

IN FAVOUR OF SPORTING CLUBE DE PORTUGAL

  • European strength rating 1541 – 1721: Sporting Clube de Portugal ahead by 181 pointsStrength rating = a score showing how strong a team is (starts at 1500). The gap between the two teams is what matters.

The bar is the size of the factor's effect on the goal expectation.

The model uses only this data; injuries, line-ups and motivation do not enter the model — those are in the “AI preview” section.

Pick lists by probability

We split the match's outcomes into three groups: most likely, medium probability and open to surprises. Not betting advice. SEE THE PLANS

AI preview

Summary of injuries, tactics and scenarios — Open to Pro members.

Open to members

Home/away record, fatigue, chance gap, cards and corners, goal minutes, comparison with betting odds and more Open to Plus members.

This page contains data-driven analysis. It is not betting advice.