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Şampiyonlar Ligi3 Nov 23:00 TRT

ALL PROBABILITIES

MODEL CALCULATION · NOT BETTING ADVICE

Percentage: model probability · number next to it: fair odds

Match result

  • FT 1 · Feyenoord Rotterdam: 14.9%fair odds 6.73
  • FT X · draw: 19.4%fair odds 5.15
  • FT 2 · Internazionale Milano: 65.7%fair odds 1.52

Double chance

  • 1X · Feyenoord Rotterdam doesn't lose:
    34.3%fair odds 2.92
    X2 · Internazionale Milano doesn't lose:
    85.1%fair odds 1.17
    12 · no draw:
    80.6%fair odds 1.24

Under / Over (total goals)

  • 2.5
    Under 2.5 · at most 2 goals:
    40.7%fair odds 2.46
    Over 2.5 · 3+ goals:
    59.3%fair odds 1.69

Both teams to scoreboth teams score

  • BTTS Yes · both teams score:
    53.1%fair odds 1.88
    BTTS No:
    46.9%fair odds 2.13

First-half goals

  • 0.5
    HT no goals · Under 0.5:
    25.1%fair odds 3.99
    HT 1+ goals · Over 0.5:
    74.9%fair odds 1.33

ANALYSES

Form and standings

Feyenoord RotterdamInternazionale Milano
League table26. place 3 pts · 1W 0D 2L advantaged: 20. place 3 pts · 1W 0D 2L
Last 5 matchesadvantaged: LWL1.0 pts/matchWLLLL0.6 pts/match

Goals

Feyenoord RotterdamInternazionale Milano
Expected goals0.92advantaged: 2.16

Match total 3.1

Clean sheet0/3advantaged: 1/5
Luck—+2.9 puan

Players

Feyenoord RotterdamInternazionale Milano
Last starting XI4-3-33-5-2
ScorerAnis Hadj Moussa1 goalsLautaro Martínez2 goals
Most dangerous—Lautaro Martínezexpected goals 4.6
Finisher—Marcus Thuram+0.7 goals vs expectation
Goalkeeper—Josep Martínezconceded 1.9 goals more than expected
Most cardsCharles Vanhoutte2 yellowAlessandro Bastoni1 yellow, 1 red

Head to head

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Model and reliability

WHAT FACTORS MAKE UP THE PERCENTAGES

IN FAVOUR OF FEYENOORD ROTTERDAM

  • Home side: in the Champions League the home side's goal expectation is about %28 higher

IN FAVOUR OF INTERNAZIONALE MILANO

  • European strength rating 1538 – 1811: Internazionale Milano ahead by 272 pointsStrength rating = a score showing how strong a team is (starts at 1500). The gap between the two teams is what matters.

The bar is the size of the factor's effect on the goal expectation.

The model uses only this data; injuries, line-ups and motivation do not enter the model — those are in the “AI preview” section.

Pick lists by probability

We split the match's outcomes into three groups: most likely, medium probability and open to surprises. Not betting advice. SEE THE PLANS

AI preview

Summary of injuries, tactics and scenarios — Open to Pro members.

Open to members

Home/away record, fatigue, chance gap, cards and corners, goal minutes, comparison with betting odds and more Open to Plus members.

This page contains data-driven analysis. It is not betting advice.