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Şampiyonlar Ligi3 Nov 23:00 TRT

FK Bodø/Glimt×Lille OSC

ALL PROBABILITIES

MODEL CALCULATION · NOT BETTING ADVICE

Percentage: model probability · number next to it: fair odds

Match result

  • FT 1 · FK Bodø/Glimt: 48.2%fair odds 2.07
  • FT X · draw: 24.3%fair odds 4.12
  • FT 2 · Lille OSC: 27.5%fair odds 3.63

Double chance

  • 1X · FK Bodø/Glimt doesn't lose:
    72.5%fair odds 1.38
    X2 · Lille OSC doesn't lose:
    51.8%fair odds 1.93
    12 · no draw:
    75.7%fair odds 1.32

Under / Over (total goals)

  • 2.5
    Under 2.5 · at most 2 goals:
    45.7%fair odds 2.19
    Over 2.5 · 3+ goals:
    54.3%fair odds 1.84

Both teams to scoreboth teams score

  • BTTS Yes · both teams score:
    56.4%fair odds 1.77
    BTTS No:
    43.6%fair odds 2.29

First-half goals

  • 0.5
    HT no goals · Under 0.5:
    27.7%fair odds 3.61
    HT 1+ goals · Over 0.5:
    72.3%fair odds 1.38

ANALYSES

Form and standings

FK Bodø/GlimtLille OSC
League tableadvantaged: 28. place 3 pts · 1W 0D 2L 35. place 0 pts · 0W 0D 3L
Last 5 matchesadvantaged: LWLLW1.2 pts/matchLLL0.0 pts/match

Goals

FK Bodø/GlimtLille OSC
Expected goalsadvantaged: 1.661.19

Match total 2.9

Clean sheetadvantaged: 2/50/3
Luck—+3.7 puan

Players

FK Bodø/GlimtLille OSC
Last starting XI4-4-24-3-3
ScorerSondre Brunstad Fet1 goalsSoriba Diaoune2 goals
Most dangerous—Ethan Mbappéexpected goals 1.3
Finisher——
Goalkeeper—Berke Özerconceded 1.8 goals fewer than expected
Most cardsOdin Bjørtuft1 redEthan Mbappé1 red

Head to head

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Model and reliability

WHAT FACTORS MAKE UP THE PERCENTAGES

IN FAVOUR OF FK BODØ/GLIMT

  • Home side: in the Champions League the home side's goal expectation is about %28 higher
  • European strength rating 1622 – 1602: FK Bodø/Glimt ahead by 21 pointsStrength rating = a score showing how strong a team is (starts at 1500). The gap between the two teams is what matters.

IN FAVOUR OF LILLE OSC

No factor stands out clearly from the league average.

The bar is the size of the factor's effect on the goal expectation.

The model uses only this data; injuries, line-ups and motivation do not enter the model — those are in the “AI preview” section.

Pick lists by probability

We split the match's outcomes into three groups: most likely, medium probability and open to surprises. Not betting advice. SEE THE PLANS

AI preview

Summary of injuries, tactics and scenarios — Open to Pro members.

Open to members

Home/away record, fatigue, chance gap, cards and corners, goal minutes, comparison with betting odds and more Open to Plus members.

This page contains data-driven analysis. It is not betting advice.