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Premier League31 Oct 18:00 TRT

Coventry City FC×Sunderland AFC

ALL PROBABILITIES

MODEL CALCULATION · NOT BETTING ADVICE

Percentage: model probability · number next to it: fair odds

Match result

  • FT 1 · Coventry City: 43.9%fair odds 2.28
  • FT X · draw: 29.7%fair odds 3.37
  • FT 2 · Sunderland: 26.4%fair odds 3.79

Double chance

  • 1X · Coventry City doesn't lose:
    73.6%fair odds 1.36
    X2 · Sunderland doesn't lose:
    56.1%fair odds 1.78
    12 · no draw:
    70.3%fair odds 1.42

Under / Over (total goals)

  • 2.5
    Under 2.5 · at most 2 goals:
    54.4%fair odds 1.84
    Over 2.5 · 3+ goals:
    45.6%fair odds 2.19

Both teams to scoreboth teams score

  • BTTS Yes · both teams score:
    51.5%fair odds 1.94
    BTTS No:
    48.5%fair odds 2.06

First-half goals

  • 0.5
    HT no goals · Under 0.5:
    33.8%fair odds 2.96
    HT 1+ goals · Over 0.5:
    66.2%fair odds 1.51

ANALYSES

Form and standings

Coventry CitySunderland
League tableadvantaged: 19. place 6 pts · 2W 0D 6L 20. place 5 pts · 1W 2D 5L
Last 5 matchesadvantaged: LLWWL1.2 pts/matchDLLLL0.2 pts/match

Goals

Coventry CitySunderland
Expected goalsadvantaged: 1.431.07

Match total 2.5

Clean sheet1/51/5
Luck−2.3 puan−4.8 puan

Players

Coventry CitySunderland
Last starting XI4-2-3-14-2-3-1
ScorerJack Rudoni2 goalsBrian Brobbey3 goals
Most dangerousJack Rudoniexpected goals 2.4Enzo Le Féeexpected goals 1.6
Finisher—Brian Brobbey+0.3 goals vs expectation
GoalkeeperCarl Rushworthconceded 8.1 goals more than expectedRobin Roefsconceded 1.9 goals more than expected
Most cardsTaiwo Awoniyi1 redReinildo Mandava2 yellow, 1 red

Head to head

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Model and reliability

Clarity5/10

Favourite = the side with the highest chance of winning. It does not mean they will win.

Match Resultmore accurate than the league average 0.619 / 0.655

Last 8 months, 183 matches

3+ Total Goals?more accurate than the league average 0.490 / 0.495

Last 8 months, 183 matches

Both Teams to Score?more accurate than the league average 0.496 / 0.497

Last 8 months, 183 matches

WHAT FACTORS MAKE UP THE PERCENTAGES

IN FAVOUR OF COVENTRY CITY

  • Home side: in this league home sides score 1,53 per match, away sides 1,25
  • Sunderland's attack is %16 below the league average (chance quality and goals, recent matches weighted more)
  • Sunderland concedes %8 more goals than the league average
  • Last 5 matches, per match expected-goal difference: Coventry City -0,58, Sunderland -0,92

IN FAVOUR OF SUNDERLAND

  • Coventry City's attack is %16 below the league average (chance quality and goals, recent matches weighted more)

The bar is the size of the factor's effect on the goal expectation.

The model uses only this data; injuries, line-ups and motivation do not enter the model — those are in the “AI preview” section.

Pick lists by probability

We split the match's outcomes into three groups: most likely, medium probability and open to surprises. Not betting advice. SEE THE PLANS

AI preview

Summary of injuries, tactics and scenarios — Open to Pro members.

Open to members

Home/away record, fatigue, chance gap, cards and corners, goal minutes, comparison with betting odds and more Open to Plus members.

This page contains data-driven analysis. It is not betting advice.