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Premier League31 Oct 20:30 TRT

Tottenham Hotspur FC×Crystal Palace FC

ALL PROBABILITIES

MODEL CALCULATION · NOT BETTING ADVICE

Percentage: model probability · number next to it: fair odds

Match result

  • FT 1 · Tottenham Hotspur: 45.2%fair odds 2.21
  • FT X · draw: 28.6%fair odds 3.49
  • FT 2 · Crystal Palace: 26.2%fair odds 3.82

Double chance

  • 1X · Tottenham Hotspur doesn't lose:
    73.8%fair odds 1.35
    X2 · Crystal Palace doesn't lose:
    54.8%fair odds 1.82
    12 · no draw:
    71.4%fair odds 1.40

Under / Over (total goals)

  • 2.5
    Under 2.5 · at most 2 goals:
    50.7%fair odds 1.97
    Over 2.5 · 3+ goals:
    49.3%fair odds 2.03

Both teams to scoreboth teams score

  • BTTS Yes · both teams score:
    54.3%fair odds 1.84
    BTTS No:
    45.7%fair odds 2.19

First-half goals

  • 0.5
    HT no goals · Under 0.5:
    31.8%fair odds 3.15
    HT 1+ goals · Over 0.5:
    68.2%fair odds 1.47

ANALYSES

Form and standings

Tottenham HotspurCrystal Palace
League tableadvantaged: 14. place 9 pts · 2W 3D 3L 17. place 7 pts · 2W 1D 5L
Last 5 matchesadvantaged: WWDLD1.6 pts/matchLLWDL0.8 pts/match

Goals

Tottenham HotspurCrystal Palace
Expected goalsadvantaged: 1.531.12

Match total 2.6

Clean sheetadvantaged: 2/51/5
Luck−1.5 puan−1.6 puan

Players

Tottenham HotspurCrystal Palace
Last starting XI4-2-3-13-4-2-1
ScorerDominic Solanke1 goalsTyrick Mitchell2 goals
Most dangerousSávioexpected goals 0.4Jean-Philippe Matetaexpected goals 2.6
Finisher—Jean-Philippe Mateta−2.6 goals vs expectation
GoalkeeperAntonín Kinskyconceded 0.3 goals more than expectedWalter Benítezconceded 0.9 goals fewer than expected
Most cardsConor Gallagher3 yellowYéremy Pino3 yellow

Head to head

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Model and reliability

Clarity5/10

Favourite = the side with the highest chance of winning. It does not mean they will win.

Match Resultmore accurate than the league average 0.619 / 0.655

Last 8 months, 183 matches

3+ Total Goals?more accurate than the league average 0.490 / 0.495

Last 8 months, 183 matches

Both Teams to Score?more accurate than the league average 0.496 / 0.497

Last 8 months, 183 matches

WHAT FACTORS MAKE UP THE PERCENTAGES

IN FAVOUR OF TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR

  • Home side: in this league home sides score 1,53 per match, away sides 1,25
  • Crystal Palace concedes %12 more goals than the league average
  • Crystal Palace's attack is %8 below the league average (chance quality and goals, recent matches weighted more)
  • Last 5 matches, per match expected-goal difference: Tottenham Hotspur +0,13, Crystal Palace -0,69

IN FAVOUR OF CRYSTAL PALACE

  • Tottenham Hotspur's attack is %15 below the league average (chance quality and goals, recent matches weighted more)

The bar is the size of the factor's effect on the goal expectation.

The model uses only this data; injuries, line-ups and motivation do not enter the model — those are in the “AI preview” section.

Pick lists by probability

We split the match's outcomes into three groups: most likely, medium probability and open to surprises. Not betting advice. SEE THE PLANS

AI preview

Summary of injuries, tactics and scenarios — Open to Pro members.

Open to members

Home/away record, fatigue, chance gap, cards and corners, goal minutes, comparison with betting odds and more Open to Plus members.

This page contains data-driven analysis. It is not betting advice.