BLOG
Guides to reading football statistics and notes on how our model works. Not ready-made predictions — data literacy.
The weekly league previews and results reviews that our system generates from model data are published in Turkish only — see the Turkish blog.
'AI Algorithm' or Poisson? Why Football Prediction Models Should Explain Their Method
Saying 'AI algorithm' is not explaining a method. We describe a transparent football prediction algorithm built on Poisson, Dixon-Coles and holdout validation.
ai predictionpoissondixon-colesmodel transparency
What Is Expected Goals (xG)? Reading Football Statistics Correctly
What is Expected Goals (xG), how is it calculated and why can it mislead? We explain location, distance, shot type and the small-sample problem step by step. A data-literacy guide, not betting advice.
expected goalsxGstatisticsdata analysis